Skip to main content

Saturday 5 August 2023 - County's the Name, Football's the Game

Photo by Alex on Unsplash.

This is a blog about gambling.

I like gambling.  I am a good gambler.

I am not a good gambler because I have made a fortune from betting.  I have never won big, I have never lost big.

I am a good gambler because I have never bet more than I can afford to lose.  It does not feel like a kick in the balls when a bet fails to land.  I have never thought betting an avenue to riches but rather a rewarding hobby in the literal sense.  Most of all I am a good gambler because I am not addicted to it.  Even when I have been chasing losses, as soon as my betting pot is empty I am able to walk away.  I am the first to acknowledge I am very lucky in that respect.

Someone less fortunate than myself is Patrick Foster, the subject and co-author of Might Bite: The secret life of a gambling addict (Bloomsbury Sport 2022).  Foster is not a good gambler.  By Chapter 13 he has thrown away three promising careers, turned over more than £500,000 in bets and is about to step in front of a train.  If it had not been betting it would have been something else.  It is a cautionary tale with a happy outcome although not necessarily for the people and institutions he lied to for money.  The amounts gambled, won and lost, are eye-watering.  But, for a book depicting the danger of excessive gambling, it came up short in one particular regard.

It made me want to have a bet.

It made me want to have a bet because at one point Foster is £94,000 to the good, but so sick is his addiction that in an attempt to round it up to £100,000 he loses every penny!  I have never won £94,000.  I have not even come close.  But it did make me think that if Foster could make this amount from what essentially amounted to mug punting then I could at least try to do the same.  I may have missed the point.

Foster’s brief road to riches was built on accumulator bets with hundreds of pounds staked on each.  I don’t have the capital to bet equivalent amounts on what bookmakers consider sucker bets.  However, I do think there is long-term profit to be made from accumulator betting, which also allows the shrewd operator an opportunity to fly under the radar at a time when bookmaker accounts are being closed or limited at the first sign of a half decent profit being made.

Welcome to I, Punter.


Notts County.  Where does one even start?  Perhaps it's best not to, but instead to view their return to the English Football League this Saturday as an opportunity for them and their long-suffering fans to draw a very deep line in the sand and look to the future with bona fide optimism.  That’s what I intend to do anyway.

Their first opponents of the new season are Sutton United, a side that appears to scream mid-table obscurity.  Notts on the other hand will be looking to press on and give Wrexham and their playboy owners another run for their money.  I did well backing Notts in multiples last season and I am fully confident of doing the same this season.

Another favourite for League Two success is Stockport County, who narrowly missed out in last season's play-off final and, like Notts, will be looking to make a winning start.  Stockport play Gillingham, another side that will be more than chuffed with a mid-table finish.  Individually Notts (4/6) and Stockport (7/10) are not worth backing, but combined in a double they suddenly become a betting proposition (1.83/1).  My “hypothetical” stake of £20 - to which all future tips will be struck, at Sky Bet odds available at the time of writing - returns £56.67 for a tax free profit of £36.67.

You never know.  I hope to see you next week.

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

Saturday 13 September 2025 - Off The Wall

At times this week, it has felt like I’ve been carrying the weight of the world on my shoulders.  In desperation, I reached out on my socials for a bit of love and the late American singer, songwriter and dancer Michael Jackson got in touch.  He suggested that I should straighten up my act and boogie down.  I was in Tesco the next time things began to get on top of me, halfway through the weekly shop, but people just thought I was mental when I pushed my trolley to one side and started doing the Moonwalk down the biscuit aisle.  With advice like that, no wonder they called him Wacko Jacko.  It makes me wonder what other crazy stuff he got up to. Before I turn to matters of financial speculation, for this week’s AI slop I asked ChatGPT to give the moonwalking man a Notts County shirt and it found an unintentionally funny way of doing this, presumably for reasons of copyright.  In addition to being "The Oldest (professional) Team" in the world, last Saturday’...

Saturday 20 September 2025 - More AI Slop

As part of the day job, I had to scan a photo that included Nottingham Castle into ChatGPT.  Don't ask.  If you are familiar with Nottingham Castle, you will agree it looks nothing like a castle.  It's almost a case for Trading Standards.  There was a proper castle on the site, with turrets and everything, but this was razed to the ground in 1651.  The current building is a Stuart Restoration-era ducal mansion which has been disappointing visitors to the city since 1679.  However, ChatGPT knows what a castle looks like, and, without prompting, did this to the photo. Amusing as this was, I just wanted the original photo, so I asked ChatGPT not to alter it in any way. I asked ChatGPT why it was doing this.  "I am genuinely mortified," was the touching response.  You know the world is screwed when you want to put your arm around an AI and tell it everything's going to be okay. *** On Tuesday, an e-mail informed me that a work colleague had died....

Saturday 27 September 2025 - Tomorrow's World

In last week's blog I made two mistakes.  The first was saying that the Barnsley game kicked off at 3 pm.  The second was thinking that Barnsley would actually win the Barnsley game.  The Tykes’ trip to Blackpool was a lunchtime kick off and, unaware of this, I checked Sky Bet at 3.15 pm to see how they were winning by, only to discover my betting fate had already been sealed. The game was effectively a repeat of the West Brom dabacle from the weekend before, with Barnsley monopolising the game to no avail and Blackpool sneaking a goal late on.  My other selection Gillingham won like the good team they are.  It’s early days. The last two losing weekends could just be down to variance, but going forward it may pay to avoid betting on top versus bottom clashes where the bottom side is playing at home.  Terrible teams seldom become great teams over the course of a season, but they do get better at defending and are more likely to park the bus in the hope of ...