Skip to main content

Saturday 21 October 2023 - Slip Slidin' Away

Photo by Luís Sousa on Unsplash

The cat is still alive.  But more of that in a moment.

On Sunday evening I drove to Chesterfield to pick up my wife and daughter from the railway station.  I had deposited them there on Saturday afternoon in brilliant autumn sunshine, but the nights have drawn in and on this foray my middle-aged eyes struggled to navigate through the gloom. I had better visibility playing the fog level of Lotus Turbo Challenge 2 on the Mega Drive.  I appreciate there are far worse things to worry about in the world right now, but it seems with each passing week another part of me either stops working or threatens to drop off.  Welcome to I, Punter.

Fair play to Bradford City.  If it's a dead cat bounce the cat must be made of rubber. The Bantams have clearly turned their fortunes around and last Saturday left Plough Lane - which for sponsorship reasons is currently masquerading as the Cherry Red Records Stadium - with all three points and my hope of another winning double in tatters.  In my defence, when making notes for last week’s blog I had jotted down “Tip DON” and in hindsight I may actually have meant to back Doncaster (4-1 winners over Sutton United) rather than The Dons.  My other selection Crewe Alexandra won 2-0 and are quietly taking care of business whilst the likes of Notts County (1-4 losers to Mansfield - ouch!) and Wrexham continue to reap most of the League Two attention.  To have any chance of making that £100 profit in October, I need this weekend’s double to be a winner but - famous last words - I am feeling optimistic as the following selections almost picked themselves.

After their demolition of League Two leaders Notts County at fortress Meadow Lane, Mansfield Town’s (4/9) home fixture with Forest Green Rovers should be a formality.  If the season finished today Forest Green would be in the National League and it would be a major shock if they were to leave Field Mill with anything other than a joyless journey home.  This is a game Mansfield wins nine times out of ten. The second leg of my double is another beneficiary of County’s humiliating defeat, Stockport County (8/15), who now sit top of League Two.  Fate has been kind to Stockport and their first game as new league leaders is Grimsby Town at home, a side who have lost four of their last six games with their only win being over Barrow who have similar form to Forest Green.  All games kick off at three pm on Saturday and at the time of writing my “hypothetical” £20 win double returns £44.30 for a profit of £24.30 at combined odds of 1.21/1 with Sky Bet.

In case you hadn't realised, this is a blog about betting and so far football betting has dominated.  But I still like an occasional punt on the horses and here is a speculative bet for anyone prepared to wait the best part of a year for a non-guaranteed payout: City Of Troy to win the 2024 UK Triple Crown (2000 Guineas, Epsom Derby and St. Leger) at 12/1 with Sky Bet (10s with other bookmakers).  It needs a lot to go right, and for connections to follow this lofty path, but it might be one of those crazy bets that actually seems nailed on in hindsight.  You never know.

I hope to see you next week.

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

Saturday 13 September 2025 - Off The Wall

At times this week, it has felt like I’ve been carrying the weight of the world on my shoulders.  In desperation, I reached out on my socials for a bit of love and the late American singer, songwriter and dancer Michael Jackson got in touch.  He suggested that I should straighten up my act and boogie down.  I was in Tesco the next time things began to get on top of me, halfway through the weekly shop, but people just thought I was mental when I pushed my trolley to one side and started doing the Moonwalk down the biscuit aisle.  With advice like that, no wonder they called him Wacko Jacko.  It makes me wonder what other crazy stuff he got up to. Before I turn to matters of financial speculation, for this week’s AI slop I asked ChatGPT to give the moonwalking man a Notts County shirt and it found an unintentionally funny way of doing this, presumably for reasons of copyright.  In addition to being "The Oldest (professional) Team" in the world, last Saturday’...

Saturday 20 September 2025 - More AI Slop

As part of the day job, I had to scan a photo that included Nottingham Castle into ChatGPT.  Don't ask.  If you are familiar with Nottingham Castle, you will agree it looks nothing like a castle.  It's almost a case for Trading Standards.  There was a proper castle on the site, with turrets and everything, but this was razed to the ground in 1651.  The current building is a Stuart Restoration-era ducal mansion which has been disappointing visitors to the city since 1679.  However, ChatGPT knows what a castle looks like, and, without prompting, did this to the photo. Amusing as this was, I just wanted the original photo, so I asked ChatGPT not to alter it in any way. I asked ChatGPT why it was doing this.  "I am genuinely mortified," was the touching response.  You know the world is screwed when you want to put your arm around an AI and tell it everything's going to be okay. *** On Tuesday, an e-mail informed me that a work colleague had died....

Saturday 27 September 2025 - Tomorrow's World

In last week's blog I made two mistakes.  The first was saying that the Barnsley game kicked off at 3 pm.  The second was thinking that Barnsley would actually win the Barnsley game.  The Tykes’ trip to Blackpool was a lunchtime kick off and, unaware of this, I checked Sky Bet at 3.15 pm to see how they were winning by, only to discover my betting fate had already been sealed. The game was effectively a repeat of the West Brom dabacle from the weekend before, with Barnsley monopolising the game to no avail and Blackpool sneaking a goal late on.  My other selection Gillingham won like the good team they are.  It’s early days. The last two losing weekends could just be down to variance, but going forward it may pay to avoid betting on top versus bottom clashes where the bottom side is playing at home.  Terrible teams seldom become great teams over the course of a season, but they do get better at defending and are more likely to park the bus in the hope of ...